The Establishment has written off Donald Trump for dead.
And party elites believe globalist Paul Ryan is the future of the GOP.
The results of a recent poll destroyed that narrative.
Bloomberg Politics surveyed Republican voters on their attitudes toward various GOP figures and also asked who they wanted to be the face of the party going forward.
After the 2012 election, Establishment Republicans commissioned the “autopsy report,” which was entitled the Growth and Opportunity Project.
The report was chock-full of donor-pleasing sentiments, such as being more inclusive and having the party drop the hard-edged conservatism many elites believed pulled Mitt Romney too far to the right during the primary.
And it only contained one policy recommendation — amnesty.
Fast forward to 2016, when Donald Trump rampaged through the GOP primary campaigning on a platform which rejected the donors’ globalist policies of amnesty, trade deals, and foreign wars.
As Trump amassed primary victory after primary victory, some Establishment Republicans held out hope of a contested convention where Paul Ryan — the avatar of Establishment Republicanism — could ride to the rescue as a compromise candidate.
When that failed, Ryan’s backers — as well as Ryan himself — actively worked to sabotage the Trump campaign, culminating with Ryan refusing to support the nominee for the remainder of the campaign.
Some pundits believed this was the end of Trump and on the day after the election, the GOP could wash their hands of Trump, pretend his campaign never happened, and move along with the business of anointing Paul Ryan as the 2020 GOP nominee.
But reality intervened.
A new Bloomberg Politics poll shows that not only is Donald Trump more popular than Paul Ryan, but Republican voters agree with his nationalist conservative message over Paul Ryan’s donor class globalism.
The poll’s findings showed the extent to which Trump, with his hardline positions on immigration and trade, has triumphed among the party’s supporters over Ryan, with his vision of a pluralist conservative party that focuses on cutting taxes and spending.
When asked which leader better represents their view of what the Republican Party should stand for, 51 percent of likely voters who are, or lean, Republican picked Trump, while 33 percent picked Ryan and 15 percent said they weren’t sure.
Their poll also found that Republican voters would rather see Trump as the future face of the Republican Party by a 24% to 15% margin.
Ryan’s favorability has also plunged 11 points in one month — dropping to 50% — whereas Trump is viewed favorably by 76% of Republicans.
Paul Ryan’s undermining of Trump’s campaign has clearly taken a toll.
Conservatives already viewed Ryan suspiciously for his constant accommodation of Barack Obama’s agenda.
Since assuming the role of Speaker, Ryan has supported Obama’s agenda 100% by not lifting a finger to exercise the power of the purse to stop ObamaCare or the dangerous Syrian refugee program.
Many conservatives note that Ryan has fought harder to defeat Trump than he ever did against Obama during his time as a Vice Presidential nominee in 2012 or as a member of Congress.
Ryan’s failure to lead, combined with Trump’s mobilization of the grassroots against the globalism movement, is represented in the Bloomberg poll as evidence Trump — and not the Establishment favorite Ryan — will have a longer lasting impact on the Republican Party.