It’s increasingly starting to look like the Presidential election will come down to one or two states.
The current Real Clear Politics Electoral map shows Trump with 266 Electoral College votes, which is just one state shy of a majority.
And two new polls are showing Donald Trump with the lead in one state that could swing the election.
For months, many assumed Colorado was safely in the Hillary column.
As recently as September 10th, Clinton held an 8.5% lead in the Real Clear Politics polling average.
And then everything changed.
A Gravis Marketing poll found Trump with a four point lead in Colorado.
And CNN just released a survey finding Trump with a one point advantage.
“Republican nominee for president Donald J. Trump has taken the lead in Colorado and maintains his lead in Ohio, two new Breitbart News Network/Gravis Marketing polls released on Sunday show. The promising polls for Trump come just before the all-important debate an hour from here on Monday night, at Hofstra University on Long Island.
In Colorado, a swing state with 9 electoral votes, Trump leads Democratic nominee Hillary Rodham Clinton by 4 points—outside the survey’s 3.5 percent margin of error. Trump, at 41 percent, leads Clinton—who has just 37 percent. Libertarian Gary Johnson takes 6 percent and Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party takes 6 percent, and 10 percent of the voters polled are undecided. The poll, conducted from Sept. 22 to Sept. 23, surveyed 799 registered voters in Colorado.
“The collapse of the Never Trump movement in Colorado is consistent with Trump’s ability to consolidate Republicans behind him,” Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Marketing—the Florida-based company that executed the poll—said. “Colorado is close between Trump and Clinton, but Clinton’s inability to lock down the state by now makes me wonder if when her campaign announced they were leaving because it was locked down–they knew then it wasn’t.”
Kaplan is referring to reports from back in July and August where Clinton’s campaign significantly reduced spending in Colorado. Since the Clinton campaign backed out of the state, at least somewhat, the trends have shifted significantly toward Trump with many recent surveys showing Trump either running even with Clinton there or overtaking her in the important battleground state.”
Back in July, Clinton’s Super PAC announced they were pulling their TV ads out of Colorado.
At the time, the media treated that as a sign the state was out of reach for Trump and his cause as all but lost.
But Democratic pollster Pat Caddell noted that in Colorado – and what is happening with her national poll numbers – Hillary’s core coalition is shrinking to a minority of people who think the country is on the right track.
Breitbart also reports:
“Pat Caddell, the legendary Democratic pollster who worked for former President Jimmy Carter, told Breitbart News that this poll is a sign of an electorate very much uneasy with the direction of the country.
“I think that Colorado is not what people think it is,” Caddell said. “You’re dealing with very raw bad numbers on roughly the economy, and Hillary is now consistently being narrowed to people who think the country is on the right track which is a distinct minority and the people who think the economy is doing okay, which is also a distinct minority.”
Due to the lies about her health and her email server, the deterioration in Clinton’s national and swing-state polling numbers have also hit her in Colorado.
When Hillary fell behind in states like Florida, Iowa, Nevada, North Carolina, and Ohio – as well as saw her national poll numbers evaporate – liberals in both the media and political class took some comfort in the fact she still held an advantage in the Electoral College because of states like Colorado, where pundits believed the growing Latino and under-35 populations were a political firewall for Democrats.
These polls blow that notion out of the water.
Do you think these new polls show Trump on the verge of winning the election?
Let us know what you think in the comment section.