Democrats are throwing everything at Donald Trump in the final weeks of the 2020 campaign.
That means calling in the big guns.
But Barack Obama is making one trip that is bad news for Joe Biden.
Barack Obama is hitting the campaign trail for Joe Biden.
Normally that would be seen as good news for the Democrats as Obama is still the Democrats’ biggest name and most popular figure.
The reality, however, is far different.
Obama is set to campaign in Philadelphia to rally black support for Joe Biden.
Biden’s struggled to generate enthusiasm from black voters and polls show Donald Trump running stronger with black Americas than he did in 2016.
A drop off in black turnout in 2016 was a big reason Donald Trump won in 2016 as Hillary Clinton could not run up significant enough margins in cities like Philadelphia, Detroit and Milwaukee to offset Trump’s strength in rural areas.
But that isn’t Joe Biden’s only problem in Philadelphia.
Since 2008 when Barack Obama carried Pennsylvania by over 600,000 votes in what was the Democrat Party’s high water mark, Pennsylvania steadily trended Republican culminating with Donald Trump’s 2016 victory.
2008 — Obama 3.276 million (54.5%); McCain 2.656 million (44.1%): +620,000 for Democrats
2012 — Obama 2.990 million (52.0%); Romney 2.680 (46.6%): +310,000 for Democrats
2016 — Clinton 2.926 million (47.5%); Trump 2.970 (48.2%): -44,000 for Democrats
Between 2008 and 2016 the Democrat vote total declined by 350,000 votes while Republicans increased their vote total by over 300,000.
In 2020 Republicans also outpaced Democrats in registering new voters in Pennsylvania.
The Trafalgar Group – the only pollster to correctly call Donald Trump’s 2016 win in Pennsylvania released their latest Keystone State survey showing Joe Biden ahead of Trump by just one point.
Breitbart reports, “The survey, taken October 13-15 among 1,041 likely voters, showed Trump narrowing the gap in Pennsylvania, with Biden leading by just 1.1 percent — 47.5 percent to the president’s 46.4 percent. As has been the emerging theme in several recent surveys in key Rust Belt states, Biden’s lead is within the margin of error, which is +/- 2.96 percent.”
Trends in Pennsylvania in terms of vote totals and voter registration suggest the race to win the state is much closer than the corporate media polls suggest.
Sending Barack Obama to Philadelphia is not a show of strength for the Biden campaign.
If they were really looking to expand the map and run up a landslide win Obama would be in Texas or Ohio, reliable Republican states that would only turn in an electoral route.
By having Obama campaign in Pennsylvania the Biden campaign signaled that they believe the election is much closer than the public polls indicate and that it will decided in the traditional; battleground states.
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