The Supreme Court are soon to rule on two cases that threaten Pelosi’s speakership.
And you won’t believe what court watchers are saying about the likely outcome.
In fact, Brett Kavanaugh could be about to hand Trump the one victory that Pelosi dreads the most.
Next week, the U.S. Supreme Court will hear two important cases involving partisan gerrymandering by state legislatures.
Fake news media claims “gerrymandering” increases polarization.
What that really means is it increases the chances of electing conservatives who will stand up to the liberal agenda.
In a recent Politico report, legal scholars and court watchers alike believe Brett Kavanaugh will be the deciding factor on which way the court rules.
According to Politico, these two cases so blatantly involve clear partisan gerrymandering, that the Supreme Court’s ruling could be precedent-setting:
“On Tuesday, the Supreme Court will scrutinize political maps in two states where lawmakers have openly admitted they drew congressional lines earlier this decade to favor one party, a practice the court has long considered reining in.
In North Carolina, republicans explicitly sought to ensure the GOP would control 10 of the state’s 13 House districts. In Maryland, Democrats openly targeted a long-time Republican congressman, altering the lines of his district to defeat him and give Democrats a 7-1 advantage in the state.”
While this issue has come before the Supreme Court before, the retirement of moderate Justice Anthony Kennedy could change everything.
“There are many plausible ways that the court could create a test and police those partisan gerrymanders,” says Rick Hasen, a law professor at the University of California-Irvine who also runs the popular Election Law Blog.
“The bigger question is whether there’s the will among five justices to do that,” says Hasen.
Experts agree there are four liberal Justices ready to impose strict controls on partisan gerrymandering—-Stephen Breyer, Ruth Bader Ginsburg, Elena Kagan, and Sonia Sotomayor.
On the side of no crackdown are Samuel Alito, Clarence Thomas, Neil Gorsuch, and Chief Justice John Roberts, whom although is a centrist, has consistently voted in the majority on two key election cases.
“An expansive ruling striking down partisan gerrymanders “now seems much less likely given the change of the composition of the court,” says Hasen.
“It’s really going to come down to Roberts and Kavanaugh.”
However, Roberts is already voting on the right side of rulings regarding the Citizens United case concerning campaign finance and in striking down some of the more onerous sections of the Voting Rights Act.
And while Kavanaugh did not vote on any major redistricting cases as an appellate judge for the D.C. Circuit, his well-known conservative judicial philosophy and skepticism over federal control of state law clearly makes him a likely ‘no’ vote on any restrictions on gerrymandering.
Ultimately, this will leave Justice Kavanaugh as the deciding vote against any further crackdowns on gerrymandering, rightfully leaving it to the states–where it belongs.
We will keep you updated after the court hears these cases next week.