The New Hampshire primary is in the books.
Halfway through the first four early states the 2020 race is starting to take shape.
And Democrats are facing this major crisis. Now they are waving the white flag.
Much like Iowa, the New Hampshire primary did not see record turnout.
Turnout in New Hampshire was in line with the 2016 contest.
What also worried Democrats is that the number of undeclared voters was in line with past elections.
New Hampshire allows voters to participate in whatever primary they want and the turnout of undeclared voters is a barometer for how swing voters will shift in the general election.
Democrats were concerned about the numbers in the 2020 New Hampshire primary.
NBC News reported that “there was an expectation that the number of independents participating in this year’s Democratic primary might be higher than previous years, since the Republican contest is not competitive. That does not seem to have happened: 43 percent of primary voters report being registered as undeclared on the voter rolls, which is in line with prior Democratic contests when there were also hotly contested Republican races.”
Overall turnout is also a problem for Democrats.
Bernie Sanders is the unquestioned Democrat Party frontrunner.
But a candidate that leads a movement should be inspiring higher turnout.
Both Barack Obama and Donald Trump spurred voters that previously ignored the political process to register and turnout.
In the case of Bernie Sanders, Sanders’ socialist movement is not growing the Democrat Party.
And Sanders is even struggling to turnout his own base.
In 2016, voters ages 18 to 29 made up 18 percent of the New Hampshire primary electorate.
However, in the 2020 New Hampshire primary, young voters were just 11 percent of the electorate.
To makes matters worse for Democrats – much like in Iowa – Donald Trump saw record turnout for an incumbent President unopposed in a primary.
The previous record was Bill Clinton winning 76,000 votes in the 1996 Democrat primary.
President Trump blew that number out of the water earning over 100,000 votes.
One thing that is clear about President Trump is that there are very few undecided voters.
For better or worse, Americans largely made up their minds about what they think of President Trump’s performance in office.
That means the 2020 election will come down to a contest of base mobilization and turnout.
The early returns do not bode well for Democrats.
For as much as party leaders and the fake news media claim Democrats are united in their hatred for Trump and would crawl across glass to vote against him, the numbers do not lie.
The results out of Iowa and New Hampshire demonstrate that just hating President Trump isn’t enough.
Voters need a candidate that inspires them to turnout.
And the current field of Democrats fails to arouse the passions of their voters.
Meanwhile, President Trump is generating record turnout and levels of support for an incumbent President.
That reality makes it perfectly obvious which party’s base is more fired up for the General Election.
Conservative Revival will keep you up to date on any new developments in the 2020 Presidential election.