As the election winds down the so-called “experts” are focusing in on the polling data to claim Joe Biden is about to score a massive landslide victory.
The forecasters and the pundits all said the same thing in 2016.
But the polls are missing this one group of voters that could swing the election to Trump.
Ever since Donald Trump won in 2016 the fake news media focused in on the suburbs as the source of GOP erosion.
In 2016 Donald Trump won the suburban vote by five points.
But white college graduates have trended Democrat for years and that pattern accelerated in Trump’s first two years in office.
In 2018 the Democrats won a majority in the house because of their wins in the suburbs.
However midterm electorates are different than Presidential year electorates.
And Newsweek reported that in the suburbs of Cincinnati in the swing state of Ohio Donald Trump’s support among suburban women is just as strong as ever.
In fact, many of the President’s female suburban supporters question if the polls are accurately capturing the President’s support among their demographic.
Newsweek reports, “With one week remaining until Election Day, suburban voters—particularly suburban women—are of special interest to both campaigns and could be a deciding factor in the presidential election. Trump has made countless pleas to suburban women this election cycle in an effort to retain their support, and while recent polling has suggested that the voting bloc is shifting toward Biden, the sign counts by Heidi Arvay’s family suggest otherwise.”
Heidi Arvay told Newsweek that in her suburban neighborhood Donald Trump yard signs far outweigh those for Joe Biden.
“To sum it up, it’s at least 2-to-1, if not 3-to-1,” Arvay said of the signs. “In our kind of suburban area, it does not feel that there is a shift toward Biden in the mindset.”
Arvay said it 2920 was “like a deja vu-type situation” where all the pollsters missed Donald Trump’s strength and that the polls do not seem to be capturing the reality on the ground.
“It feels incorrect and it feels a little surreal,” Arvay added.
Other Ohio suburban women questioned the pollsters methodology and who they were sampling.
Sarah Fortin – who always voted third party but is voting for Trump this year – also told Newsweek that she questioned the accuracy of the polls.
“I’m wondering what cities they’re in. Because it doesn’t seem like they’re in my city,” Fortin stated.
Fortin who supports gun rights said she was voting for Trump because Trump stood for law and order and Democrats allowed Black Lives Matter rioters to burn down cities.
“As we’ve seen the past few months, what has happened around the country in those more liberal cities—it worries me as a mother,” Fortin said. “As much as I would like to support those smaller third-party candidates who agree more so with how I believe, I kind of tried to decide between the two major candidates this year.”
In 2016 pollsters under-sampled non-college educated voters and blew the election.
In 2020 are pollsters not sampling the suburbs that tend to vote Republicans and focusing on the suburbs that are outgrowths of big cities that are naturally going to lean Democrat?
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