While Democrats are still celebrating their recent takeover of the House of Representatives, that may not last for long.
Nancy Pelosi is Speaker of the House, but she may not be for much longer.
And it’s all because this bombshell report is nothing short of awful news for her and the Democratic Party.
Democrats were jubilant when they took control of the House of Representatives in November 2018.
After being out of power for eight years, retaking the House was a solid prize for the party, even after losing seats in the U.S. Senate.
But that celebration may soon be muted.
A new report from the U.S. Census Bureau suggests that Democrats are fighting a losing battle with math.
Every 10 years, the U.S. Census Bureau conducts a head-count of the country.
And the results of that census are then used to appropriate congressional seats to every state in the union.
Those congressional seats also contribute to how many electoral votes each state has in presidential elections.
And for decades, liberal states have been losing Congressional seats to more conservative-leaning states.
That trend seems to be picking up steam.
The Hill reports, “Once again, Texas and Florida were the big winners in overall population gains, with the Lone Star State gaining more than 379,000 residents from 2017-18 and the Sunshine State posting a gain of more than 322,000.”
The biggest losses in population came from some of the bluest states in the country.
“The big net losers from the report were New York, which lost a total of 48,510 residents, and Illinois, which lost 45,116,” added The Hill. “These state-by-state population numbers will alter the makeup of seats in the United States House of Representative…after the 2020 census.”
Based on where things stand right now, the following states are expected to gain seats in Congress after 2020.
Texas will gain three, from 36 to 39. Florida will gain two, from 27 to 29. Arizona will gain one, from nine to 10. Colorado will gain one, from seven to eight. Montana will gain one, from at-large to two. North Carolina will gain one, from 13 to 14, and Oregon will gain one, from five to six.
Out of all of these states, four are solidly Republican or Republican-leaning, while just two are Democrat or Democrat-leaning. Florida stands out as the key swing state, which will only continue to grow in importance.
Meanwhile, the losers almost universally hold something in common.
Only two red states, Alabama and West Virginia, will likely lose Congressional seats.
Furthermore, the swing states of Ohio and Pennsylvania will lose seats as well, as will Michigan, which voted for Obama in 2012 and then Trump in 2016.
But of the remaining states that will lose seats, almost all of them are solidly Democratic.
This includes New York, California, Minnesota, and Rhode Island, each of which will likely lose at least one seat, with New York on track to lose two.
The shifting population changes also suggest that Americans are fleeing high-tax, high-spend states run with liberal governments, and are instead moving to states with a more low-tax, low-spend outlook.
From a political standpoint, this update from the U.S. Census Bureau will almost certainly make it more difficult for Democrats to retain control of Congress after 2020, and possibly make presidential races for the Democratic Party harder starting in 2024 as well.
We will keep you up to date with any new developments in this ongoing story.